Michigan Likely Voters
Which one of the following candidates do you think has the best chance to beat President Obama:
Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Ron Paul None Undecided
Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %
Michigan Likely Voters 8% 51% 24% 4% 4% 9%
Party Identification** Republican 9% 53% 23% 3% 2% 11%
Independent 7% 49% 25% 6% 5% 7%
Tea Party Supporters 10% 44% 32% 3% 3% 9%
Intensity of Tea Party Support Strongly support Tea Party 17% 27% 45% 1% 1% 9%
Support Tea Party 6% 53% 24% 3% 4% 10%
Does not support Tea Party 6% 59% 18% 5% 5% 7%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 7% 60% 15% 7% 5% 6%
Conservative 8% 53% 26% 2% 2% 9%
Very conservative 10% 33% 38% 2% 4% 14%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 7% 60% 15% 7% 5% 6%
Conservative-Very conservative 8% 47% 29% 2% 2% 10%
Past Participation*** Yes 8% 51% 25% 3% 3% 10%
No 9% 50% 21% 9% 5% 6%
Republican Candidates Mitt Romney 5% 85% 4% 1% 1% 4%
Rick Santorum 4% 28% 55% 1% 3% 9%
Ron Paul 4% 46% 15% 24% 4% 7%
Newt Gingrich 49% 26% 16% 0% 2% 7%
Candidate Support Strongly support 7% 49% 29% 4% 3% 8%
Somewhat support 7% 63% 19% 4% 3% 4%
Might vote differently 13% 54% 22% 3% 1% 7%
Most Important Quality Shares your values 8% 40% 33% 4% 4% 11%
Is closest to you on the issues 8% 53% 21% 6% 4% 8%
Can beat President Obama in 2012 8% 56% 24% 1% 1% 9%
Has the experience to govern 6% 67% 14% 5% 2% 6%
Gender Men 9% 52% 26% 4% 3% 6%
Women 7% 50% 22% 4% 4% 13%
Age Under 45 7% 55% 22% 7% 1% 7%
45 or older 8% 49% 26% 2% 5% 10%
Region Wayne County (Detroit) 4% 60% 15% 7% 8% 6%
Oakland and Macomb Counties 6% 51% 25% 3% 6% 9%
Lansing-Ann Arbor Area 8% 51% 24% 5% 2% 9%
Grand Rapids Area 6% 56% 21% 5% 2% 11%
North Central/Upper Peninsula 14% 39% 30% 3% 3% 11%
Household Income Less than $75,000 8% 49% 25% 5% 3% 9%
$75,000 or more 8% 58% 23% 3% 4% 5%
Evangelical Christians 8% 49% 28% 2% 4% 10%
Mormons are Christians Yes 8% 58% 22% 3% 2% 8%
No-Unsure 8% 43% 28% 5% 5% 11%
Education Not college graduate 9% 46% 25% 5% 3% 12%
College graduate 7% 57% 22% 2% 5% 6%
Interview Type Landline 8% 50% 25% 3% 4% 9%
Cell Phone 8% 55% 18% 7% 2% 9%
NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=715 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
**There are too few Democrats for analysis purposes
***Past participation refers to previous participation in a Michigan Republican Presidential Primary.